Monthly Archives: May 2019

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BadMouse On How The Left Abandoned Opposing The EU

BadMouse, the vlogger on the EU and Brexit:

The right has been a stickler when it comes to appropriating leftist talking points, as I have spoken numerous times now. The EU used to be lot more of a conservative tradition opposed by many factions of the left including, of course, the late Tony Benn. But after sections of the right-wing discourse took it by their shoulders, all the left could seem in response was to go, “No! EU good”.

The EU is an undemocratic monolithic entity that controls large hegemony over the continent. This is something the left has always been against and now we seem to have all been been shovelled into the pro-EU corner just to own the right is baffling. How dare they! How dare we allow them to take control of this narrative, on the topic of narratives.

Anthony Thirlwall — A Plain Man’s Guide To Kaldor’s Growth Laws

An old article, worth your time.

Excerpt:

In the course of his Inaugural Lecture at Cambridge in 1966 on the causes of the U.K’s slow growth rate, Kaldor (1966) presented a series of “laws” to account, for growth rate differences between advanced capitalist countries; he later elaborated these laws in a lecture at Cornell University (1967). These laws, and their interpretation and validity, have been the subject of considerable scrutiny and debate, and Kaldor himself has clarified and modified his own position since their enunciation. The basic thrust of the model consists of the following propositions:1

  1. The faster the rate of growth of the manufacturing sector, the faster will be the rate of growth of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), not simply in a definitional sense in that manufacturing output is a large component of total output, but for fundamental economic reasons connected with induced productivity growth inside and outside the manufacturing sector. This is not a new idea. It is summed up in the maxim that the manufacturing sector of the economy is the “engine of growth.”
  2. The faster the rate of growth of manufacturing output, the faster will be the rate of growth of labor productivity in manufacturing owing to static and dynamic economies of scale, or increasing returns in the widest sense. Kaldor, in the spirit of Allyn Young (1928), his early teacher at the L.S.E., conceives of returns to scale as macroeconomic phenomena related to the interaction between the elasticity of demand for and supply of manufactured goods

  1. The growth of manufacturing output is not constrained by labor supply but is fundamentally determined by demand from agriculture in the early stage of development and exports in the later stages. Export demand is the major component of autonomous demand in an open economy which must match the leakage of income into imports. The level of industrial output will adjust to the level of export demand in relation to the propensity to import, through the working of the Harrod trade multiplier:2 the rate of growth of output will approximate to the rate of growth of exports divided by the income elasticity of demand for imports (see Thirlwall, 1979).
  2. A fast rate of growth of exports and output will tend to set up a cumulative process, or virtuous circle of growth, through the link between output growth and productivity growth. The lower costs of production in fast growing countries make it difficult for other (newly industrializing) countries to establish export activities with favorable growth characteristics, except through exceptional industrial enterprise.

This catalogue of propositions is more or less the full Kaldor model of growth rate differences in advanced capitalist countries …

Notes

  1. Some of the propositions are not as Kaldor originally stated them, but we shall
    return to the original argument later.
  2. For an exposition and an elaboration of the Harrod trade multiplier, see Kennedy and Thirlwall (1979) and Thirlwall (1982).

References

Kennedy, C, and Thirlwall, A. P. “Import Penetration, Export Performance and Harrod’s Trade Multiplier.” Oxford Economic Papers, July 1979.

Thirlwall, A. P. “The Balance of Payments Constraint as an Explanation of International Growth Rate Differences.” Banca Nazionale del Lavoro Quarterly Review, March 1979.

⸻, “The Harrod Trade Multiplier and the Importance of Export Led Growth.” Pakistan Journal of Applied Economics, 1(1), Summer 1982.

Young, A. “Increasing Returns and Economic Progress.” Economic Journal, December 1928

Links:

  1. SpringerLink
  2. Google Books
  3. JSTOR
  4. Palgrave Macmillan
Link

Ashwani Saith: Ajit Singh Of Cambridge And Chandigarh – An Intellectual Biography Of The Radical Sikh Economist

Has interesting stories from Cambridge:

Anthony Thirlwall provides us with this aphoristic nugget that sums it all up: “The distinguished development economist Ajit Singh tells how, when he first went to Cambridge to study economics, Nicholas Kaldor taught him three things: first, the only way for a country to develop is to industrialize; second, the only way for a country to industrialize is to protect itself; and third, anyone who says otherwise is being dishonest!” (Thirlwall quoted in Hein 2014, p. 178, footnote 35).

References

Hein, E. (2014). Distribution and growth after Keynes: A post-Keynesian guide. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.

Labour Day!

Nicholas Kaldor on how neoliberalism weakened labour power:

The centrepiece of the Government’s economic strategy, the control of the money supply, however genuinely believed in by some people, is really only a façade or a smokescreen. The important consequence of the strategy is to alter the balance of bargaining power, to weaken the trade unions through the intensification of unemployment and through the loss of jobs, through factory closures and bankruptcies, and thereby to succeed in bringing wage settlements well below the rate of inflation; that is to say, to reduce real wages.

– Nicholas Kaldor, The Economic Consequences of Mrs. Thatcher, page 62

Nicholas Kaldor, picture from National Portrait Gallery

To understand how labour power has been weakened, you need to understand monetary economics.

Happy Labour Day 🥂