Post-Keynesian growth theory (based on the work of Nicholas Kaldor) highlights the importance of manufacturing.
Mainstream theory denies it.
That’s because once you start talking along those lines, the idea of free trade appears even more dubious than at first sight. Mainstream economists don’t want that to happen as they represent the interests of Western corporations which have an interest in finding more markets for their products and services, at the expense of local producers abroad.
A recent denial of the importance of manufacturing came from Adam Posen who uses what’s called woke language. It also highlights how the woke ideology/identity politics is simply class politics disguised as concerns for identity.
Here’s what Adam Posen said in a talk at the CATO Institute:
I’m sure I’m gonna piss off both left and right, so I apologize. The fetish for manufacturing is part of the general fetish for keeping white males with low education outside the cities in the powerful positions they are in in the U.S., and that is really what’s going on here, because when you look at the costs of manufacturing and Susan Houseman and her co-authors have done a lot not of manufacturing but of trade and job displacement and community. Susan Houseman and her co-authors have done a lot of work on this and I’m sure she’ll have a different view than I do but when I look at the so-called cost of the China shock or the cost of the decline of manufacturing, I always think ‘compared to what’?
This is ridiculous as it sort of implies that people of other races somehow don’t want a position in manufacturing, are okay with offshoring work abroad or are okay with closing down of factories due to competition from abroad.
In reality this kind of analysis is just cover for class politics favouring the upper class and the super-rich.
Compare Post-Keynesians:
Here’s a quote from Wynne Godley from 1995 from the article, A Critical Imbalance In U.S. Trade, The U.S. Balance Of Payments, International Indebtedness, And Economic Policy:
It is sometimes said that manufacturing has lost its importance and that countries in balance of payments difficulties should look to trade in services to put things right. However, while it is still true that manufacturing output has declined substantially as a share of GDP, the figures quoted above show that the share of manufacturing imports has risen substantially. The importance of manufacturing does not reside in the quantity of domestic output and employment it generates, still less in any intrinsic superiority that production of goods has over provision of services; it resides, rather, in the potential that manufactures have for expansion in international trade.